Leave a Message

Thank you for your message. We will be in touch with you shortly.

Don’t Believe Everything You Read About Home Prices

Beyond Realty

Don’t Believe Everything You Read About Home Prices

Don’t Believe Everything You Read About Home Prices




According to the latest data from Fannie Mae, 23% of Americans still think home prices will go down over the next twelve months. But why do roughly 1 in 4 people feel that way?

It has a lot to do with all the negative talk about home prices over the past year. Since late 2022, the media has created a lot of fear about a price crash and those concerns are still lingering. You may be hearing people in your own life saying they’re worried about home prices or see on social media that some influencers are saying prices are going to come tumbling down.

If you’re someone who still thinks prices are going to fall, ask yourself this: Which is a more reliable place to get your information – clickbait headlines and social media or a trusted expert on the housing market?

The answer is simple. Listen to the professionals who specialize in residential real estate.

Here’s the latest data you can actually trust. Housing market experts acknowledge that nationally, prices did dip down slightly late last year, but that was short-lived. Data shows prices have already rebounded this year after that slight decline in 2022 (see graph below):

 

But it’s not just Fannie Mae that’s reporting this bounce back. Experts from across the industry are showing it in their data too. And that’s why so many forecasts now project home prices will net positive this year – not negative. The graph below helps prove this point with the latest forecasts from each organization:

 

 

What’s worth noting is that, just a few short weeks ago, the Fannie Mae forecast was for 3.9% appreciation in 2023. In the forecast that just came out, that projection was updated from 3.9% to 6.7% for the year. This increase goes to show just how confident experts are that home prices will net positive this year.

So, if you believe home prices are falling, it may be time to get your insights from the experts instead – and they’re saying prices aren’t falling, they’re climbing.

Bottom Line

There’s been a lot of misleading information about home prices over the past year. And that’s still having an impact on how people are feeling about the housing market today. But it’s best not to believe everything you hear or read.

 

If you want information you can trust, turn to the real estate experts. Their data shows home prices are on the way back up and will net positive for the year. If you have questions about what’s happening in our local area, let’s connect. 

Recent Blog Posts

Why More Homes Are for Sale in Sarasota and Lakewood Ranch: What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know

Rising mortgage rates, growing housing inventory, and longer selling times are creating new opportunities in Sarasota, Lakewood Ranch, Manatee County, and Charlotte Co… Read more

Mastering the Market: Your Guide to Pricing and Selling Your Home in Sarasota, Manatee, and Charlotte Counties

A practical guide to pricing your home competitively, attracting qualified buyers, and navigating the Sarasota-area real estate market. Copy

Why Most People Are Still Glad They Bought a Home With everything going on, it’s understandable if you’re wondering if you’d regret buying right now.  Everyday expenses cost more. Mortgage rates are higher than you’d like. And when the economy feels uncertain, taking on a mortgage can feel like a much bigger leap. But here’s some perspective that may help… Most people who already made that leap would do it again. According to a recent survey from NerdWallet, the vast majority of recent buyers (74%) were glad they bought their current home. Only a very small 3% of people regret it: And here’s a big reason why so many people feel it was worth it, even now. Homeownership Is a Long-Term PlayWhen you’re deciding whether to buy, it’s easy to focus on what’s happening right now. What’s today’s mortgage rate? Are prices going up or down? Those things matter. But don’t get so caught up in buying in the perfect moment that you miss the bigger picture. A home isn’t typically something you buy for just a year or two. It’s a longer-term play. And when you zoom out, it all starts to fall into perspective – especially if you look at home prices and equity. According to data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), home prices nationally have risen 33.4% over just the past five years (see map below): And that appreciation has helped current homeowners build some serious wealth. Research from Bankrate shows homeowners gained an average of nearly $150,000 in wealth over the past five years as equity steadily rose across 90% of major metro areas. That’s one of the biggest benefits of homeownership. As you pay down your mortgage and your home appreciates over time, your ownership stake – your equity – can grow. Now, Zoom Out Even FurtherThe five-year numbers are impressive. But the numbers get even more dramatic when you look at decades instead of individual market cycles. FHFA data shows home prices nationally have risen 336% since 1991. Sit with that for a second. Three hundred percent (see map below):   That doesn't mean prices go up every single year. And it doesn't mean buying is automatically the right decision for everyone today. You should only buy when the numbers (and the payment) work for you. What it does show is why trying to perfectly time the market can make you miss the bigger picture.  Over time, homeowners gain a lot of equity. And that equity can eventually become a powerful financial resource. As Freddie Mac explains:  “Your home's equity is part of your total wealth as a homeowner. If you decide to sell your home, the equity you have built over time will come back to you in the sale. . . If it's time to upsize or downsize, you can use that cash for the down payment on your next home.” Basically, if you can afford to do it, buying a home now could set you up for future moves. And just in case you’re someone who’s worried about what happens if prices do fall, after you buy, remember: you’re not buying for one year. Prices can dip. They have before. But historically, they’ve risen far more over the long run. And the longer you own your home, the more time you have to ride out those ups and downs and keep building equity. Bottom LineDon’t let today’s uncertainty make you lose sight of what homeownership can do over time. Most homeowners say they’d make the same choice again. And decades of home-price growth help explain why. If you’re wondering whether buying makes sense for you right now, let’s look at the numbers together – and what owning a home could mean for you in the years ahead.

Discover how long-term homeownership can help build equity and financial stability, and what buyers should consider when purchasing a home in Sarasota, Lakewood Ranch,… Read more

Sarasota market snapshot infographic with waterfront panorama and real estate sales statistics.
🏠 Home Sale Market Snapshot: Sarasota & Manatee Counties | October 2–8, 2026

A Fountain powerboat speeds across ocean water as a helicopter flies overhead.
Sarasota Weekend Events: October 10–11, 2026

From offshore powerboat racing and classic cars to live music, soccer, and Oktoberfest fun, discover what’s happening around Sarasota this weekend.

Aerial view of a bridge over turquoise water beside a white-sand beach and coastal homes.
Sarasota, Manatee & Charlotte County Market Report (August 2026): Two Counties Crossed Into Seller's Markets. All Three Sold Fewer Homes.

Let's Talk

You’ve got questions and we can’t wait to answer them.

Follow Us on Instagram