Darren Dowling

For many buyers in Sarasota and Lakewood Ranch, mortgage rates have felt like the “monster under the bed.” Every uptick makes some people pause and say, “Maybe I should wait.” But here’s the surprising truth — waiting for that perfect rate could actually cost more long-term, especially in our high-demand coastal Florida market.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) explains:
“. . . a 30-year fixed rate mortgage of 6% would make the median-priced home affordable for about 5.5 million more households—including 1.6 million renters.”
If rates dip into the high-5% range, more buyers will jump back into the market — including many who have been waiting on the sidelines in Sarasota, Lakewood Ranch, Venice, Punta Gorda, North Port, and across Manatee & Charlotte counties.
And when that happens?
Buyer competition increases
Inventory tightens
Home prices rise again
So while 5.99% sounds great, the price jumps that follow could wipe out the small savings.
Let’s break it down:
On a $400,000 mortgage, the difference between today’s rate (~6.2%) and 5.99% is about $50/month.
That’s about…
One less brunch on Main St.
Skipping two coffee runs at The Landings
One less sunset cocktail at Lakewood Ranch Waterside
Meanwhile, home prices in Sarasota and Lakewood Ranch have continued trending upward year-over-year due to:
Strong relocation demand
Limited new construction near the coast
Lifestyle-driven buyers who aren’t waiting
So by waiting for a slightly lower rate, you may:
Pay more for the same home later
Compete with more buyers
Lose the negotiation leverage buyers have right now
Jessica Lautz, Deputy Chief Economist for NAR, notes:
“Over the last several weeks, mortgage rates have averaged around 6.31%. This has provided buyers a sweet spot to reexamine the home search with more inventory and wider choices.”
That’s exactly what’s happening in:
Sarasota
Lakewood Ranch
Palmer Ranch
Englewood
Port Charlotte
Right now, buyers have:
✅ More homes to choose from
✅ More negotiating ability
✅ Less competition than what’s expected next year
And Matt Vernon, Head of Retail Lending at Bank of America, adds:
“If the home is right and the payments are manageable, it may be the right moment to move.”
Waiting for rates to drop below 6% sounds smart…but when they do, buyers will flood back into the market — and prices are likely to rise with them.
If you’re financially ready now, buying today may give you the upper hand in one of Florida’s most desirable coastal markets.
Let’s talk strategy before the next wave of buyers hits.
Darren Dowling
Realtor® | Beyond Realty
📞 (941) 204-0493
📧 [email protected]
🌐 https://beyondrealtyfl.com
Whether you're relocating, upsizing, downsizing, or investing — I’ll help you make the right move with confidence.
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